UK inflation eases to 2.6 per cent ahead of US tariff impact
“Inflation eased again in March, driven by a variety of factors including falling fuel prices and unchanged food costs compared with the price rises we saw this time last year,” said ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) stood at 2.6 per cent in March, down from 2.8 per cent in February, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
Vivek Mishra works as an Assistant Editor with Eastern Eye and has over 13 years of experience in journalism. His areas of interest include politics, international affairs, current events, and sports. With a background in newsroom operations and editorial planning, he has reported and edited stories on major national and global developments.
THE UK’s annual inflation rate dropped more than expected in March, according to official figures released on Wednesday. The latest numbers come as US president Donald Trump’s new tariffs add to global economic uncertainty.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) stood at 2.6 per cent in March, down from 2.8 per cent in February, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. Analysts had expected a decline to 2.7 per cent. The rate was 3.0 per cent in January.
“Inflation eased again in March, driven by a variety of factors including falling fuel prices and unchanged food costs compared with the price rises we saw this time last year,” said ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves welcomed the figures but said more work was needed.
“Inflation falling for two months in a row, wages growing faster than prices and positive growth figures are encouraging signs that our plan for change is working, but there is more to be done,” Reeves said in a statement.
“I know many families are still struggling with the cost of living and this is an anxious time because of a changing world,” she added. Labour returned to power nine months ago.
On Friday, official data showed that the UK economy had grown more than expected in February.
However, analysts have warned that the 10 per cent tariff on British exports to the United States could weigh on future growth. Inflation is expected to rise again due to increases in UK energy and water bills that took effect this month.
“The dip in CPI inflation... won’t be sustained for long, with inflation set to rise to around 3.5 per cent in the coming months,” said Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics.
At the same time, falling global oil prices could lead to lower inflation in the longer term.
Martin Sartorius, principal economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), said “the introduction of higher US tariffs adds some uncertainty to the outlook, as they could put both upward and downward pressure on inflation in the UK”.
Wednesday’s figures have strengthened expectations that the Bank of England will lower its key interest rate at its next policy meeting in May.
Britain’s food retailers have said that higher employer taxes and regulatory costs as well as increased staff wages are adding to inflationary pressure
British grocery inflation nudged down to stand at five per cent over the four weeks to 10 August, data from market researcher Worldpanel by Numerator showed on Tuesday (19), providing a little relief for consumers.
The figure, the most up-to-date snapshot of UK food inflation, compared with 5.2 per cent in last month’s report.
“We’ve seen a marginal drop in grocery price inflation this month, but we’re still well past the point at which price rises really start to bite and consumers are continuing to adapt their behaviour to make ends meet,” Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Worldpanel, said.
The researcher said prices were rising fastest in markets such as chocolate, fresh meat and coffee and falling fastest in champagne and sparkling wine, dog food and sugar confectionery.
Britain’s food retailers have said that higher employer taxes and regulatory costs as well as increased staff wages are adding to inflationary pressure from higher prices for commodities.
Trade body the British Retail Consortium, which represents Britain’s biggest retailers, predicts that food inflation will hit 6 per cent by the end of the year, putting more pressure on household budgets in the run-up to Christmas.
The Bank of England has forecast it will hit 5.5 per cent before Christmas and then fall back as global wholesale factors fade.
Official UK inflation data for July will be published on Wednesday. (Reuters)
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In his Independence Day address, Modi said the goods and services tax (GST) would be reformed and rates lowered by Diwali, which falls in October. (Photo: Getty Images)
INDIA’s government will reduce consumption tax rates by October, a top official said on Friday, hours after prime minister Narendra Modi announced reforms to support the economy amid trade tensions with the United States.
The federal government is planning a two-rate structure of 5 per cent and 18 per cent, removing the existing 12 per cent and 28 per cent slabs, the official told Reuters, requesting anonymity as the plans are still under discussion.
According to the official, 99 per cent of items currently taxed at 12 per cent, including butter, fruit juices, and dry fruits, will be shifted to 5 per cent. The move could affect companies such as Nestle, Hindustan Unilever, and Procter & Gamble.
The announcement follows rising trade tensions between New Delhi and Washington over US tariffs on Indian goods. Modi on Friday urged people to promote domestic products, with some of his supporters calling for a boycott of American goods.
In his Independence Day address, Modi said the goods and services tax (GST) would be reformed and rates lowered by Diwali, which falls in October.
"This Diwali, I am going to make it a double Diwali for you. Over the past eight years, we have undertaken a major reform in goods and services tax. We are bringing next-generation GST reforms that will reduce the tax burden across the country," Modi said.
The final decision will be taken by the GST Council, chaired by the finance minister and comprising state finance ministers, the official said. The council is expected to meet by October.
Brokerage Citi estimates that about 20 per cent of items, including packaged food, beverages, apparel and hotel accommodation, are in the 12 per cent slab. These account for 5-10 per cent of consumption and 5-6 per cent of GST revenue.
If most of these are moved to the 5 per cent slab and some to 18 per cent, the government could see a revenue loss of about 500 billion rupees, or 0.15 per cent of GDP, Citi said. This could take the total policy stimulus for households in the 2025-26 financial year to 0.6-0.7 per cent of GDP, it added.
(With inputs from agencies)
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CEO of Morrisons Rami Baitiéh (centre) takes on the Heera Foods Gol Gappay challenge
Morrisons chief executive Rami Baitiéh took part in a lively “Gol Gappay Challenge” at the supermarket’s Bradford headquarters on Tuesday, as part of celebrations for South Asian Heritage Month.
The event, hosted in the company’s central atrium, was led by Bradford-based Heera Foods, which served up its popular Gol Gappay – crispy puris filled with spiced chickpeas and tangy water – to staff and visitors.
The highlight was a 60-second eating contest where colleagues competed to finish as many Gol Gappay as possible before the clock ran down. To cheers from the crowd, Baitiéh joined in and managed four in a minute.
“It was fantastic to see the CEO of one of the UK’s biggest supermarkets join in with such enthusiasm,” said Noor Ali, senior commercial manager at Heera Foods. “Gol Gappay, also known as pani puri, are all about fun, flavour and bringing people together, and Rami certainly embraced that spirit.”
The open day formed part of Morrisons’ program of events showcasing South Asian food and culture. For Heera Foods, one of Bradford’s longest-standing South Asian brands, it was an opportunity to highlight a snack loved across the subcontinent.
Heera Foods, part of P&B Foods Ltd, has been based in Bradford since the 1960s and produces a wide range of South Asian staples and ready-to-eat products from its UK facility.
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When Mounjaro was launched in Britain, Lilly set a list price 'significantly below' that in its other three European markets to avoid delays in NHS availability. (Photo: Reuters)
ELI LILLY said on Thursday it will increase the UK list price of its weight-loss drug Mounjaro by up to 170 per cent. The price change comes as the White House urges drugmakers to raise prices in Europe to enable price cuts in the United States.
The new price, which also applies to Lilly's type 2 diabetes medicine sold under the same name, will take effect in September. A month's supply of the highest dose will rise from £122 to £330, the company said.
The increase will apply to those paying for Mounjaro privately but will not affect patients receiving it through the National Health Service (NHS), which has a separate pricing agreement, a Lilly spokesperson said.
When Mounjaro was launched in Britain, Lilly set a list price “significantly below” that in its other three European markets to avoid delays in NHS availability. “We are now aligning the list price more consistently,” the company said.
The change comes as drugmakers adjust to policy shifts in the United States, their largest market, where president Donald Trump is seeking lower domestic drug prices while encouraging increases overseas.
Last week, Lilly CEO David Ricks told investors that price parity between the US and Europe was desirable over time, but said European governments “are not signing up to pay more for drugs.”
The US pays more for prescription drugs than any other country, often nearly three times more than other developed nations. Trump says he wants to narrow this gap to prevent Americans from being “ripped off.”
Reuters reported last week that the Trump administration has been in talks with drugmakers about ways to equalise prices across markets.
A list price is the amount set by a drug manufacturer before any discounts or rebates.
Lilly said it is working with private UK healthcare providers, including online pharmacies, which can set their own prices, to maintain access to the medicines.
Lilly launched Mounjaro in the UK in February 2023, while rival Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy became available in the country in September 2023.