UK and India finalise free trade agreement after three years of talks
The agreement between the world’s fifth and sixth largest economies aims to increase bilateral trade by £25.5 billion by 2040 through improved market access and eased trade restrictions.
Starmer and Modi shake hands during a bilateral meeting in the sidelines of the G20 summit at the Museum of Modern Art in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Brazil, on November 18, 2024. (Photo: Getty Images)
Vivek Mishra works as an Assistant Editor with Eastern Eye and has over 13 years of experience in journalism. His areas of interest include politics, international affairs, current events, and sports. With a background in newsroom operations and editorial planning, he has reported and edited stories on major national and global developments.
INDIA and the United Kingdom on Tuesday concluded a long-awaited free trade agreement after three years of negotiations. The deal, finalised in the context of past US tariff actions under president Donald Trump, is the most significant trade pact for the UK since it left the European Union.
The agreement between the world’s fifth and sixth largest economies aims to increase bilateral trade by £25.5 billion by 2040 through improved market access and eased trade restrictions.
"These landmark agreements will further deepen our comprehensive strategic partnership, and catalyse trade, investment, growth, job creation, and innovation in both our economies," Indian prime minister Narendra Modi said.
Delighted to speak with my friend PM @Keir_Starmer. In a historic milestone, India and the UK have successfully concluded an ambitious and mutually beneficial Free Trade Agreement, along with a Double Contribution Convention. These landmark agreements will further deepen our… — Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) May 6, 2025
The pact lowers tariffs on a range of goods including whisky, advanced manufacturing components, and food items such as lamb, salmon, chocolates, and biscuits. It also sets quotas for automobile imports on both sides.
Both countries are also working on separate bilateral agreements with the United States to remove some of the tariffs introduced during Trump’s presidency, which had disrupted global trade. The UK-India deal gained urgency amid these developments.
"We are now in a new era for trade and the economy. That means going further and faster to strengthen the UK's economy," prime minister Keir Starmer said.
"Strengthening our alliances and reducing trade barriers with economies around the world is part of our plan for change to deliver a stronger and more secure economy here at home."
The agreement opens up parts of India’s protected market, including the automobile sector, and is seen as a model for India’s approach to future trade discussions with the United States and the European Union.
Negotiations began in January 2022 and became symbolic of Britain’s post-Brexit trade ambitions. The talks faced several delays as the UK went through four prime ministers since then, and both countries held elections last year.
“The prime minister spoke to the prime minister of India Narendra Modi today.
“The leaders began by celebrating the landmark UK-India Free Trade Agreement announced today – a deal which will add billions to the UK economy, boost wages and deliver on this government’s Plan for Change.
Delighted to speak with my friend PM @Keir_Starmer. In a historic milestone, India and the UK have successfully concluded an ambitious and mutually beneficial Free Trade Agreement, along with a Double Contribution Convention. These landmark agreements will further deepen our… — Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) May 6, 2025
“In a huge economic win for the UK, delivering for working people and British businesses, the prime minister underscored the need to go further and faster to get things done, to secure and renew our country.
“Through pragmatism and purpose, the leaders noted that this historic deal is the biggest the UK has done since leaving the EU, and the most ambitious India has ever done. Prime minister Modi also thanked the prime minister for his decisive leadership in getting the deal over the line.
“Turning to the terrorist attack in Jammu and Kashmir last month, the prime minister reiterated his deep condolences at the tragic and senseless loss of life.
“Finally, prime minister Modi extended an invitation to India, which the prime minister was pleased to accept and said he looked forward to visiting India at the earliest opportunity.
“They looked forward to speaking soon.”
Key elements of the UK-India trade deal:
Bilateral trade: Currently at £42.6 billion, expected to grow by £25.5 billion annually from 2040.
Market access: India to reduce import duties on whisky, medical devices, machinery, lamb, salmon, chocolate, soft drinks, biscuits, cosmetics, and aerospace products.
Whisky tariffs: Cut from 150 per cent to 75 per cent, then down to 40 per cent by the 10th year.
Automobiles: India to reduce tariffs to 10 per cent under a quota, from over 100 per cent.
Tariff impact: India's tariff cuts expected to exceed £400 million based on 2022 data, with the value expected to more than double in 10 years.
Trade ranking: India was the UK’s 11th largest trading partner in 2024.
Post-Brexit milestone: UK described the deal as its most economically significant trade agreement since leaving the EU.
Entry-level roles decline as firms automate back-office and administrative task
Women overrepresented in high-risk jobs, including part-time and support positions.
Up to 8 million UK jobs could vanish without stronger workforce training and policy safeguard.
British businesses are investing heavily in artificial intelligence to drive efficiency, but new research warns that young workers and women are disproportionately affected as entry-level positions face significant disruption. Women are more likely to hold back-office, entry-level, and part-time jobs at highest risk of automation, while young people face reduced hiring opportunities as firms introduce AI technologies instead of recruiting for entry-level positions.
A study by BSI, covering 850 business leaders across eight countries and 123 companies, highlights that while AI offers productivity gains, it often overshadows workforce development. Separate research estimates up to 8 million UK jobs could be at risk without proper intervention.
AI erodes entry-level career pathways
The BSI report finds that 62 per cent of leaders expect AI investment to rise over the next year. Yet only 43 per cent foresee reducing junior roles, and 56 per cent believe entry-level workers may start careers using AI-assisted research rather than traditional skill-building. Researchers warn of a “Generation Jaded,” where foundational skills gained through conventional work experience are diminished. Administrative, secretarial, and customer service roles—historically key entry points for migrants—face particular vulnerability.
Entry-level, part-time, and back-office roles are most exposed to AI disruption. A report from the Migration Observatory showed that women and young workers are disproportionately affected, while migrants may find their access to the UK labour market narrowed as AI automates routine tasks like scheduling, database management, and inventory control. Analysis of 22,000 UK tasks shows 11 per cent are exposed to current AI, potentially rising to 59 per cent with deeper adoption.
Firms must invest in people, not just tech
BSI warns that younger workers using AI from the outset may lack essential skills. Only 56 per cent of businesses provide structured AI learning, leaving an “uneven AI training landscape.” Internationally, 59 per cent of firms cite productivity as AI’s primary goal, but gaps remain between aspiration and implementation, especially for SMEs.
Kate Field, Global Head Human and Social Sustainability at BSI, and Laura Bishop, Digital Sector Lead for Artificial Intelligence and Cybersecurity, said there are “key steps businesses can take to ensure technology and people evolve together and create an environment in which everyone (including the AI tools that help them) thrives.”
BSI urges a “human-in-the-loop” strategy, where AI handles routine tasks but human workers add strategic value. Investment in training and workforce development is essential to prevent inequality and preserve career ladders. As one leader notes: “Businesses investing in AI today must simultaneously invest in their people to ensure productivity gains do not come at the cost of social mobility.”
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