BILLIONAIRE’S EXPANSION DREAMS IN DOUBT AFTER INDIA DEATHS
INDIAN billionaire Anil Agarwal often talks about his dream to turn his London-listed company Vedanta Resources into a global resources giant. He has already bought stakes in big mining companies, such as Anglo American Plc, and says he plans to spend at least $1 billion on investments in Africa.
But in his home country, where he rose from a scrap dealer to a metals magnate, court-imposed fines, costly plant and mine shutdowns, and public protests against his businesses for allegedly polluting the environment, have held back his lofty ambitions and hurt the company’s valuation, according to some bankers and analysts.
On Monday (29), a south Indian state ordered the permanent closure of Vedanta Resources’ copper smelter after 13 people protesting to demand its shutdown on environmental concerns were killed last week.
“We have taken a permanent decision to shut down the plant and issued government orders to do the same,” Edappadi K Palaniswami, chief minister of Tamil Nadu state said after meeting officials, including from the pollution department.
The district’s main administrative officer, called the collector, supervised the sealing as the crowd whistled and cheered from behind police barricades placed 50 metres away from the entrance.
The plant, in the coastal city of Thoothukudi, was shut since March for maintenance and pending a renewal of its licence, even as residents continued largely peaceful protests demanding it be shut for good.
Matters turned particularly ugly last Tuesday (22) when police opened fire on protesters seeking to shut down the copper smelter, killing 10. Two more people died the next day, and the Tamil Nadu state government transferred senior police and administrative officials from the city.
Vedanta called the closure of the plant it has operated for over 22 years an “unfortunate development”. “We will study the order and decide on the future course of action,” the company said.
Last week Tamil Nadu’s high court also ruled against a request to double the factory’s annual production of 400,000 metric tonnes, which would have made it one of the biggest copper smelters in the world.
Analysts say copper contributes around eight per cent to the consolidated operating profit of the company. “We’re not in that stage to look at setting up a plant elsewhere,” P Ramnath, chief executive of Vedanta’s India copper business, had said last week.
“We’re confident that we will be able to overcome these issues. It will certainly require a huge effort but I am sure we can hope to restart as quickly as possible.”
Ramnath added that the smelter suffered from a “perception” that it was the most polluting industry in Thoothukudi because of its size, and that support of the local community would be important to restart the plant and double its capacity, as suggested by Agarwal.
“Our chairman has said we need the licence to operate, but also we need to build bridges with the local community so we get their licence to operate as well,” he said. “But at this point of time the atmosphere is very tense, temperatures are high.”
Agarwal, who holds a 71.4 per cent stake in Vedanta, told the Financial Times in an interview last week that he plans to step back from running the company.
Agarwal said on Twitter earlier last month that his company was the victim of a foreign conspiracy aimed at keeping India reliant on imports. He did not name any specific countries or companies.
“Certain vested interests will prefer India to remain import dependent and use our country as their market, making India spend hard-earned foreign exchange and lose millions of jobs,” he said, in reference to a court-ordered stoppage of iron ore mining in Goa state, the campaign against the Thoothukudi copper plant and a shortage of bauxite for an aluminium smelter.
The Tamil Nadu Pollution Control Board cut the power to the smelter last Thursday (24), saying that last week it found the company preparing to resume production without permission.
Ramnath denied the allegation. “There was no reason for making preparations to restart the plant when we are still under maintenance that happens once in four years,” he said.
Around 250,000 tonnes of the smelter’s output is consumed locally, making up for 36 per cent of India’s demand. The rest is exported to countries such as China.
Vedanta wanted to double the smelter’s capacity mainly to meet India’s rising copper demand, which Ramnath expects to grow by up to 10 per cent annually. The expansion would, however, be delayed from its earlier completion target of late 2019.
Several cases have been filed against the plant since it started in 1996, and India’s top court in 2013 fined it about $18 million for breaking environmental laws.
The next year, Vedanta lost a battle to mine bauxite in the lushly forested area, Niyamgiri hills in Odisha state, that the Dongria Kondh tribe there considers sacred.
The rejection forced the company to not only import expensive bauxite for an aluminium plant in the same state but to also delay its expansion. Vedanta said it had evacuated about 3,500 employees from the plant site due to the tensions. (Reuters)
UK economy grew by 0.1 per cent in August, after contracting in July
IMF predicts Britain will have the second-fastest G7 growth in 2025
Economists warn growth remains weak ahead of Reeves’ November budget
Bank of England faces balancing act between inflation and sluggish growth
UK’s ECONOMY returned to growth in August, expanding by 0.1 per cent from July, according to official data released on Thursday. The slight rise offers limited relief to chancellor Rachel Reeves as she prepares for her November budget.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said gross domestic product for July was revised to show a 0.1 per cent fall from June, compared with a previous estimate that showed no change.
Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Britain’s economy is set to record the second-fastest growth among the Group of Seven nations in 2025, after the United States. However, with annual growth projected at 1.3 per cent, it remains insufficient to avoid tax rises in Reeves’ budget.
Fergus Jimenez-England, associate economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, said early signs for September suggested limited growth in the third quarter. "Regaining momentum hinges on restoring business confidence and reducing uncertainty, which the government can support by setting aside a larger fiscal buffer in the upcoming budget," Jimenez-England said.
Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, said the figures indicated that the services and construction sectors were in a "pre-budget funk" and forecast that growth in the third quarter would be about half the Bank of England’s estimate of 0.4 per cent. "The UK economy has yet to see the full ramifications of the US trade war," Raja said. "Budget uncertainty is hitting its peak too – likely dampening discretionary household and business spending."
A Reuters poll of economists had forecast that GDP would expand by 0.1 per cent in August.
In the three months to August, growth rose slightly to 0.3 per cent from 0.2 per cent in the three months to July, supported by public health service activity while consumer-facing services declined, the ONS said.
The Bank of England, which held interest rates at 4 per cent in September, continues to navigate between persistent inflation and weak growth.
Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday that the labour market was showing signs of softening and inflation pressures were easing after data showed unemployment at its highest since 2021 and a slowdown in private sector wage growth.
Monetary Policy Committee member Alan Taylor also warned on Tuesday that the British economy risked a "bumpy landing", citing the impact of US president Donald Trump’s trade tariffs.
Data published earlier this week showed weak growth in retail sales, partly reflecting concerns about possible tax increases in Reeves’ November 26 budget.
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