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Moody's downgrades UK as Covid-19 and Brexit hit debt outlook

RATINGS agency Moody's cut the UK's debt rating over the huge economic hit from the coronavirus crisis, Brexit and the lack of clear budget plans from prime minister Boris Johnson's government.

Moody's lowered the rating to "Aa3" from "Aa2," putting Britain on the same level as Belgium and the Czech Republic.


The world's sixth-biggest economy shrank by the most among Group of Seven nations in the second quarter and its public debt has topped £2 trillion ($2.6 trillion), surpassing 100 per cent of gross domestic product.

Moody's said Britain's growth had been "meaningfully weaker than expected and is likely to remain so in the future."

Britain faced a sharper peak-to-trough contraction than any other Group of 20 economy due to the severity of its Covid-19 outbreak, the size of its services sector, hammered by social-distancing rules, and the risk of further outbreaks, it said.

The downgrade was another blow for Johnson who is under fire from opposition parties and lawmakers in his Conservative Party for his handling of the pandemic, which has killed more people in Britain than anywhere in Europe.

Moody's said Britain's failure to reach a broad trade deal with the EU would compound the damage caused by Covid-19.

Johnson said earlier on Friday(16) there was currently no point in continuing the trade negotiations.

"Even if there is a trade deal between the UK and EU by the end of 2020, it will likely be narrow in scope," Moody's said.

It also said Britain has lost budgetary discipline and its high debt levels were unlikely to come down quickly.

"The UK effectively has no fiscal policy anchor," it said.

Spending cuts were likely to be politically difficult and tax increases could choke off the economic recovery.

Britain's government responded by saying it had no choice other than to ramp up spending to soften the pandemic's impact.

"Over time and as the economy recovers, the government will take the necessary steps to ensure the long-term health of the public finances," a finance ministry spokesman said.

Moody's revised the outlook on the country's sovereign debt to "stable" from "negative." The downgrade puts the Moody's rating on the same level as Fitch's while Standard & Poor's rates the country one notch higher.

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5 key reasons from Knight Franks' wealth report on why the UK is losing its billionaires

  • Global ultra-wealthy population jumps over 300 per cent since 2021
  • UK billionaire count drops to 156, biggest fall in 37 years
  • Policy shifts, mobility and weaker investment appeal drive the change

A fresh global wealth snapshot shows just how sharply fortunes are rising. The number of individuals worth at least $30m (£22m) has surged from 162,191 in 2021 to 713,626 now, an increase of more than 300 per cent, according to analysis by Knight Frank. The billionaire population, currently at 3,110, is projected to grow by 25 per cent to 3,915 by 2031.

This rapid expansion is being fuelled largely by technology-led wealth creation. As Liam Bailey of Knight Frank reportedly said in a news report, the ability to scale businesses faster, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, is accelerating how quickly large fortunes are built.

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