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House Prices in London Decline Amid Brexit Uncertainties

For the fifth quarter in a row, house prices in London fell annually, though the decline remains modest at just 0.7 per cent amid Brexit uncertainties.

Indeed, prices in the capital are only three per cent below the all-time-high recorded in the first quarter of 2017 and are still more than 50 per cent above their 2007 levels, said Nationwide in a report released for the month ended September.


The average price of a home in London declined by 0.7 per cent in the third quarter, compared with the same period of 2017, to £468,544, according to Nationwide. It followed a 1.9 per cent fall in house prices in the second quarter.

On a monthly basis, house prices in the UK moved up 0.3 per cent in September, to an average of £214,922, following the steepest monthly decline in six years in August.

The outer metropolitan region also saw a slight year-on-year fall, with prices down 0.3 per cent in the third quarter. The weakest performing region was the North, where prices were down 1.7 per cent year on year.

Yorkshire and Humberside was the strongest performing region in England, and also the UK, with prices up 5.8 per cent year on year. The East Midlands continued to see relatively strong growth, with prices up 4.8 per cent year-on-year.

Northern Ireland saw a pick up in annual price growth to 4.3 per cent and was the best performing amongst the home nations. Wales saw a slight softening in growth, with prices up 3.3 per cent year on year. Price growth also slowed in Scotland, from 3.1 per cent in the second quarter to 2.1 per cent.

“England was again the weakest performing nation, with prices up 1.4 per cent year-on-year.”

“Overall, UK house price growth remained broadly stable, but regional house price developments were more varied,” the report added.

Meanwhile, UK annual house price growth was steady at two per cent in September, the report said. The prices were up by 0.3 per cent during the month, after taking account of seasonal factors.

“Indeed, annual house price growth has been confined to a fairly narrow range of 2-3 per cent over the past 12 months, suggesting little change in the balance between demand and supply in the market,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist commenting on the figures.

“Looking further ahead, much will depend on how broader economic conditions evolve, especially in the labour market, but also with respect to interest rates,” he added.

Subdued economic activity and ongoing pressure on household budgets are likely to continue to exert a modest drag on housing market activity and house price growth this year, though borrowing costs are likely to remain low.

“Overall, we continue to expect house prices to rise by around one per cent over the course of 2018,” Gardner said.

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Highlights

  • Trump announces tariff removal honouring King Charles and Queen Camilla.
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  • US remains largest market for Scottish whisky at $1.2 billion annually.
US president Donald Trump announced on Thursday he was removing tariffs on Scottish whisky in honour of Britain's King Charles III and Queen Camilla as they completed their state visit.
The announcement came shortly after the royal couple ended their four-day trip to the United States, representing a major trade concession to Britain.

After bidding the British royals goodbye at the White House, Trump posted that he was making the gesture "in Honor of the King and Queen of the United Kingdom."

He said on his Truth Social network: "The King and Queen got me to do something that nobody else was able to do, without hardly even asking!"

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