Indian startups are experiencing funding winter after a phase of copious easy money but billionaire venture capitalist Vinod Khosla finds a lot of positives in the situation.
The co-founder of Sun Microsystems said the tightening liquidity has led to the separation of wheat from the chaff in the startup sector and this will ultimately help the firms with strong fundamentals.
According to him, good startups will continue to get funding, though at lower valuations but “the not-so-good” ones will go bust which will mean less competition for the robust ones going forward.
The availability of funds at low-interest rates before the current tightening led to astronomical valuations of several startups, some of them becoming so-called unicorns quickly although profitability eluded them.
But as central banks worldwide have steadily increased interest rates to combat inflation, the flow of easy money into startups has petered out and the recent events in the banking sector have only compounded the situation for new tech firms.
In 2022, there was downward re-appraisal for many startups, something mirrored in the erosion of the valuations of companies listed after the onset of the pandemic.
Khosla, who has invested in several tech firms, told the BBC that it was easy earlier for startups "to get a billion-dollar valuation which made no sense.”
Valuations built up because prominent funds poured money into India, said the founder of the California-based Khosla Ventures which has invested in the semiconductor, biomedicine, big data, and robotics spaces.
He argued that as weak startups cannot survive the funding crunch, there will be fewer but larger start-ups which will not have to compete with smaller firms.
Khosla said technology has significantly contributed to the expansion of the US GDP and India is getting similar opportunities as government policies are “supportive”.
"There is long-term opportunity in India as a major developing country with lots of GDP growth to be captured by start-ups," the Silicon Valley veteran, who studied at the Indian Institute of Technology Delhi and Stanford University, said.
"India Stack, UPI (Unified Payments Interface) and others are good infrastructure for the start-up ecosystem to develop on," the Indian American businessman told the BBC.
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India faces growth challenge as global uncertainty mounts
Jan 17, 2025
AFTER world-beating economic growth last year, India’s policymakers are scrambling to prevent a sharp slowdown as worsening global conditions and declining domestic confidence undo a recent stock market rally.
Last Tuesday (7), Asia’s third-largest economy forecast 6.4 per cent annual growth for the fiscal year ending in March, the slowest in four years and below initial projections, weighed down by weaker investment and manufacturing.
The downgrade follows disappointing economic indicators and a slowdown in corporate earnings in the second half of 2024, which have forced investors to rethink the country’s earlier outperformance and cast doubts over prime minister Narendra Modi’s ambitious economic targets.
The fresh worries are heightening calls for authorities to lift sentiment by loosening monetary settings and slohe pace of fiscal tightening, especially as Donald Trump’s looming second presidency in the US throws more uncertainty over the global trade outlook.
“You have to revive the animal spirit, and you also have to ensure that consumption picks up. It’s not that easy,” Madhavi Arora, chief economist at Emkay Global Financial Services, said, adding India could expand its fiscal balance sheet or cut interest rates.
Such calls come amid a flurry of meetings by Indian policymakers with businesses growing increasingly worried about faltering demand.
Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman held a series of meetings in December with industry and economists, customary ahead of India’s annual budget, which is due on February 1.
Some measures proposed in those talks to boost growth include putting more money into the hands of consumers and cutting taxes and tariffs, according to demands by trade and industry associations.
The worries about India’s economy knocked 12 per cent off the benchmark Nifty 50 index from late September to November. It clawed back those losses to end 2024 up 8.7 per cent, a decent gain but well off the previous year’s 20 per cent surge.
As confidence wanes, the political urge to stimulate growth appears to be broadening.
India’s monthly economic report published last month said the central bank’s tight monetary policy was partly responsible for the hit to demand.
Modi has made some high-profile changes recently that are expected to lift economic growth as a priority over price stability.
In a surprise move in December, Modi appointed Sanjay Malhotra as the new central bank governor, replacing Shaktikanta Das, a trusted bureaucrat who was widely expected to get another one to two-year term as chief having completed six years at the helm.
The appointment of Malhotra, who recently said the central bank would strive to support a higher growth path, came immediately after data showed September quarter growth slowed much more than expected to 5.4 per cent.
Donald Trump
During the pandemic, Modi sought to keep the economy growing by raising infrastructure spending and limiting wasteful expenditure to keep government finances in good shape.
That lifted headline GDP growth, but has not supported wages or helped consumption sustain an annual expansion of more than seven per cent over the past three years.
While India’s economy may still outperform globally, the question is whether it can maintain 6.5 per cent-7.5 per cent growth or slow to five per cent-six per cent, said Sanjay Kathuria, visiting senior fellow at Centre for Social and Economic Progress.
Arora said the country currently is in a “bit of a limbo” where individuals are not spending. She expects this to continue if employment does not improve and wage growth remains weak.
Reuters reported last month the government plans to cut taxes for some individuals and is preparing to offer tariff cuts on some farm and industrial goods, mainly imported from the US, to clinch a trade deal with Trump.
Economists said the government will have to slow some of its fiscal tightening to support growth with the success of such measures dependent on the extent of the cuts.
With regards to trade, analysts said India needs a credible plan to fight Trump’s tariff wars.
If China remains the main target of Trump’s tariffs, that could present an opportunity for India to boost its trade profile, although it would also need to let the rupee fall further to make its exports more competitive, economists said.
The rupee has hit multiple lows in the past few weeks and 2024 was its seventh consecutive year of decline, mostly due to a surging dollar. Last Wednesday (8), it hit a fresh all-time low.
India needs to “seriously implement tariff rationalisation to help embed itself more deeply into global value chains,” Kathuria, also an adjunct professor at Georgetown University, said.
This could include tariff cuts aimed at pre-emptively heading off punitive levies from a Trump White House.
“India should announce some proactive measures for US suo-moto to bring concessions for the US, rather than waiting for the new administration to announce their steps,” said Sachin Chaturvedi, head of the New Delhi-based Research and Information System for Developing Countries. (Reuters)
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Tata Consultancy sees 5.6 per cent rise in revenue despite market challenges
Jan 16, 2025
INDIAN IT giant Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) posted a 5.6 per cent on-year rise in revenue for the December quarter last Thursday (9), after lower earnings in its key North American market.
The leader of India’s $254 billion (£208.4bn) IT sector, TCS is the second-largest company in India by market capitalisation and earns over 80 per cent of its revenue from Western clients.
The Mumbai-headquartered firm has seen growth slow over the past 18 months as high inflation and global geopolitical uncertainty forced customers to cut back on tech spending.
It has forecast a better performance this year as demand slowly recovers, betting on a revival in North America’s banking sector, lower inflation and clients spending more on generative AI.
The firm’s October-December revenue rose 5.6 per cent year-onyear to `639.7 billion, slightly below analyst estimates of around six per cent.
Net profit for the period came in at Rs 123.99bn with “growth led by consumer business group, energy, resources and utilities, and regional markets”, TCS said in a statement.
“In a quarter that saw significant cross-currency volatility TCS’s strong execution, cost management and deft currency risk management helped deliver healthy margin improvement and free cash flows,” TCS chief financial officer Samir Seksaria said in the statement.
The earnings statement showed a 2.3 per cent on-year decline in the North American market, offset by growing domestic demand.
Top Indian IT firms have resumed adding employees on a net basis over the past two quarters, a boon for the job prospects of tens of thousands of young Indian engineering graduates who depend on the sector.
However, potential headwinds remain on the horizon.
Recent policy debates in the United States have sparked speculation over how the H-1B visa system, a major tool for Indian IT firms, may be severely cut back.
The IT services sector is one of India’s biggest employers and revenue earners.
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GDP rises just 0.1 per cent in November following Reeves’ budget
Jan 16, 2025
THE ECONOMY grew by 0.1 per cent in November, marking a slight recovery after contractions in September and October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This modest increase followed chancellor Rachel Reeves’ October budget, which introduced significant tax hikes for businesses. However, the growth was weaker than the 0.2 per cent rise expected by economists.
Reeves stated she is “determined to go further and faster to kick-start economic growth” and plans to meet regulators to discuss how they can support the government’s efforts to accelerate the economy.
Prime minister Keir Starmer has also pledged to achieve the fastest per capita GDP growth among the Group of Seven advanced economies.
Despite the slight growth, challenges remain. Ben Jones, lead economist at the Confederation of British Industry, noted a cautious mood among businesses following the budget.
“Many firms are entering 2025 with a focus on reducing operational expenditure, which is likely to weigh on pay, hiring and investment in the months ahead,” he said.
Rob Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the economy continues to face pressure from recent tax increases and global uncertainty, particularly after Donald Trump’s US presidential election victory.
However, Wood expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates in February, adding, “We think the outlook remains brighter than the late 2024 data suggest, and talk of recessionary risk is wide of the mark.”
The ONS reported that growth in the services sector, driven by wholesaling, pubs, restaurants, and IT companies, supported November’s economic expansion.
However, manufacturing and oil and gas sectors experienced declines. Production output fell by 0.4 per cent, while construction rebounded by the same margin.
The economy showed zero growth in the third quarter of 2024, with uncertainty over the budget affecting businesses.
The Bank of England expects the economy to have flat-lined in the final quarter of the year. Some analysts have warned the economy may have contracted overall in that period.
Government borrowing costs recently surged due to concerns about slow economic growth but fell sharply after lower inflation data in the UK and the US suggested that interest rate cuts could happen sooner.
Sterling fell slightly against the US dollar before recovering some losses, and UK government bond yields steadied following a significant drop.
Investment strategist Lindsay James from Quilter Investors highlighted that the full impact of the budget is still to come, with the rise in social security contributions starting in April. She also pointed to potential global risks, saying, “Trump’s inauguration is nearing, and the true effects of his policies will start to be felt later in the year.”
Looking ahead to 2025, some analysts caution that tighter financial conditions and higher taxes could negatively affect business investment. Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, warned that a “gloomy business mood on the back of higher taxes and a potential escalation in trade conflicts could set back business investment.”
Despite these challenges, Reeves reaffirmed her commitment to driving economic growth. “That means generating investment, driving reform and a relentless commitment to root out waste in public spending,” she said. “I will fight every day to deliver that growth and put more money into working people's pockets.”
Compared to the previous year, the UK’s economic output in November was 1.0 per cent higher, falling short of economists’ forecasts of 1.3 per cent growth.
(With inputs from agencies)
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Pixxel launches India’s first private satellite network
Jan 15, 2025
INDIA's space tech startup Pixxel launched three of its six hyperspectral imaging satellites aboard a SpaceX rocket from California on Tuesday (14).
The satellites were launched at 1915 GMT, just after midnight in India, from the Vandenberg Space Force Base, a live telecast from SpaceX showed. The launch marks a milestone for the country's growing private space sector and for Google-backed Pixxel, a five-year-old startup.
The satellites aim to use hyperspectral imaging, a technology that captures highly detailed data across hundreds of light bands to serve industries such as agriculture, mining, environmental monitoring and defence.
Such technology can help deliver insights into improving crop yields in India's agrarian economy, track resources, monitor oil spills and geographic boundaries in much better details than current technology allows.
The remaining three satellites are expected to be deployed in the second quarter of the year. The SpaceX rocket is also carrying a satellite from another Indian space company, Diganatara.
"By 2029, the (satellite imagery) market is projected to reach $19 billion (£14.82bn).. Hyperspectral imaging, which is new, could realistically capture $500 million (£390m) to $1bn (£780m) of this," said Pixxel's founder and chief executive Awais Ahmed.
The startup plans to add 18 more spacecraft to the six it has already developed, Ahmed said, adding that Pixxel has signed up around 65 clients, including Rio Tinto, British Petroleum, and India's ministry of agriculture, with some already paying for data from its demo satellites.
The US is a major leader in satellite launches, due to private companies such as SpaceX and government contracts, while India, despite its established spacefaring capabilities, holds only a two per cent share of the global commercial space market.
(Reuters)
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UK-India trade talks resume amid growth push
Jan 15, 2025
THE UK government on Tuesday (14) told parliament that the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) talks with India have been relaunched to deliver a joint ambition of taking the bilateral relationship to “even greater heights”.
During a debate on UK economic growth in the Commons, Labour MP Jeevun Sandher asked foreign secretary David Lammy about the steps being taken to get a “good UK-India trade deal over the line”.
Describing 2025 as an “exciting year” for the UK’s trading relationship with India, the co-chair of the India All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) flagged the “exchange of green technologies to help prevent and reduce the warming of our planet” among the areas of focus.
“We are two nations with an intertwined history and common democratic ideals and we face the risks of a dangerous world and a warming planet,” said Sandher, a first-time member of Parliament from Loughborough, in the East Midlands.
In response, Lammy pointed to his India visit within weeks of the Labour government being elected in July last year and prime minister Keir Starmer hosting a roundtable with Indian business leaders at 10 Downing Street last month.
“We have relaunched the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) - we have said that it is a floor, not a ceiling on our ambition - and it was important that a delegation of Indian businessmen met the chancellor of the exchequer, me and the prime minister [Keir Starmer] just a few weeks before Christmas,” said Lammy.
The foreign secretary reiterated his own Indian connection with a “great-grandmother on my mother’s side, who was from Calcutta” and went on to reveal that he plans to invite his Indian counterpart, external affairs minister S Jaishankar, to the UK in the spring.
“The UK and India’s prime ministers have committed to an ambitious refresh of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. They announced that the UK-India trade talks will relaunch, which will deliver our joint ambition to take the UK-India relationship to even greater heights, and India is one of a handful of countries that will determine whether we meet the global warming limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius,” said Lammy, in reference to the meeting between Starmer and prime minister Narendra Modi on the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Brazil last November.
According to the Department for Business and Trade (DBT) statistics, the total trade in goods and services between the UK and India was £42 billion in the four quarters to the end of 2024.
This is expected to be significantly enhanced with an FTA, negotiations for which began in January 2022 before being paused in the fourteenth round for general elections in both countries in 2024. The FTA talks are expected to resume later this month.
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