INTERNATIONAL ratings agency Moody's placed cash-strapped Sri Lanka under watch for a downgrade on Tuesday on rising fears that the island nation could default on its foreign debt.
Foreign reserves of $3.6 billion (£2.6b) at the end of June was insufficient to cover Sri Lanka's annual foreign debt servicing of $4-5b (£2.9-3.68b) over the next four to five years, Moody's said.
It said Colombo's financing options were limited although it managed to obtain some bilateral loans.
Colombo has announced a $250 million (£183m) loan from Bangladesh, a fellow south Asian country with a much lower per capita income than Sri Lanka’s.
"The decision to place the ratings under review for downgrade is driven by Moody's assessment that Sri Lanka's increasingly fragile external liquidity position raises the risk of default," Moody's said.
In September, Moody's downgraded Sri Lanka's sovereign credit rating by two notches to "Caa1" (high credit risk), saying Colombo would struggle to secure funding to service its large debt.
In a desperate bid to save foreign exchange, Sri Lanka has banned luxury imports, including some food and spices, since March last year.
"Moody's expects Sri Lanka's foreign exchange reserves to continue declining from already low levels, further eroding its ability to meet sizeable and recurring external debt servicing needs," the agency said.
Sri Lanka's finance ministry reacted angrily to Moody's latest announcement, saying it was "unwarranted", and warned it could reconsider employing the ratings agency.
"The unwarranted announcement by Moody's... re-emphasises the need for the Sri Lanka government to revisit its relationship with rating agencies," the finance ministry said in a statement.
Sri Lanka's central bank governor WD Lakshman said last month that the country would meet its debt obligations.
The economy shrank a record 3.6 per cent last year on the back of lockdowns sparked by the Covid-19 pandemic. However, the central bank expects a growth of 4-5 per cent this year with the gradual reopening of the economy and the roll-out of its vaccine programme.
Shein’s UK sales hit £2.05bn in 2024, up 32.3 per cent year-on-year, driven by younger shoppers.
The retailer benefits from import tax loopholes unavailable to high street rivals.
Faces mounting criticism over labour practices and sustainability as it eyes a London listing.
Tax edge drives growth
Chinese fashion giant Shein is transforming Britain’s online clothing market, capturing a third of women aged 16 to 24 while benefiting from tax breaks unavailable to high street rivals.
The fast-fashion retailer’s UK sales surged 32.3 per cent to £2.05bn in 2024, according to company filings, with pre-tax profits rising to £38.3m from £24.4m the previous year. The growth comes as established players like Asos struggle in an increasingly competitive landscape where young consumers prioritise value above all else.
Shein has partly benefited from a tax break on import duty for goods worth less than £135 sent directly to consumers, The rule lets overseas sellers send low-value goods to the UK tax-free, disadvantaging local businesses.
“The growth of Shein and Temu is a huge factor,” said Tamara Sender Ceron, associate director of fashion retail research at Mintel told The Guardian. “It is particularly successful among younger shoppers. It is also a threat to other fashion retailers such as Primark and H&M because of its ultra-low price model that nobody can compete with. It’s changed the market.
"The market dynamics reflect broader shifts in consumer behaviour. Online fashion sales reached £34bn last year, up 3 per cent, according to Mintel, but shoppers have become more cautious as disposable incomes shrink, and fashion competes with holidays, festivals, and streaming services for wallet share.
Scrutiny builds
Despite its commercial success, Shein faces mounting scrutiny. The company filed initial paperwork last June for a potential London Stock Exchange listing, but critics question its labour practices and environmental impact.
"Regardless of whether Shein gets listed on the London Stock Exchange, no company doing business in the UK should be allowed to play fast and loose with human rights anywhere in their global supply chains,” said Peter Frankental, economic affairs programme director at Amnesty International UK to BBC.
The “de minimis” rule has drawn renewed attention after US President Donald Trump scrapped a similar measure during his trade war with China.
Shein’s UK operation now employs 91 people across offices in Kings Cross and Manchester, focusing primarily on local market expertise.
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