India's finance minister Arun Jaitley blamed country’s central bank, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Tuesday (30) for failing to stop a lending spree between 2008-2014 that left banks with huge debts, inflaming a row that recently erupted between the government and the central bank.
On Friday (26), RBI deputy governor Viral Acharya warned that undermining a central bank's independence could be "potentially catastrophic", in an indication that it is pushing back hard against government pressure to relax its policies and reduce its powers ahead of a general election due by next May.
Government officials were very upset by Acharya's comments, which included a reference to problems created in Argentina when its government meddled in central bank affairs, senior sources in the administration said on Monday (29).
They said the RBI should not air confidential matters in public and expressed fears it could tarnish India's image among investors.
Yet, Jaitley was publicly critical of the RBI on Tuesday, saying the central bank's tax policies had contributed to banks' current woes.
"During 2008-14 after the global economic crisis to keep the economy artificially going, banks were told to open their doors and lend indiscriminately," he said in a speech at a conference attended by heads of US companies.
"The central bank looked the other way. I am surprised that at that time the government looked the other way, the banks looked the other way, I do not know what the central bank was doing. It was a regulator of these. They kept pushing truth below the carpet."
Indian banks' loans grew close to 20 per cent annually on average during 2008-2014 as they financed rapid growth across the economy. But in 2016, the central bank conducted a special asset quality review of all banks that determined there were $150 billion of non-performing loans, forcing the RBI to impose lending restrictions on some.
Points Of Conflicts
Acharya's speech comes after a long-running tug of war between the government and the RBI over whether the central bank should part with some of its Rs 3.6 trillion ($48.93bn) reserves to fund the country's fiscal deficit.
The government is scouring for funds as it faces a shortfall in expected revenues from recently introduced goods and services tax, and divestment targets have become hard to meet due to weakened market conditions.
Government officials have also called for the relaxation of strict RBI lending rules for weak banks and are trying to trim the RBI's regulatory powers by setting up a new payment regulator.
Financial markets have not reacted to the rift, but investors and traders are wary, as they want to see policymakers working closely together to stabilise India's fragile banking system and roiled markets.
"If this issue persists then we need to see whether decision making is getting impacted as clarity is important for any trade decision," said a foreign bank debt market dealer, who declined to be named.
Acharya's speech triggered strong reactions from the RBI's employees union, credit analysts and India's media. They all largely came out in support of the central bank.
The union, in a letter to the media on Monday, urged the government to allow the RBI to do its job in an "unfettered way" and warned that undermining the central bank's autonomy is a "recipe for disaster and the government must desist".
India's highest-circulation English-language paper, the Times of India, wrote in an editorial that curbing the RBI's autonomy or removing RBI Governor Urjit Patel would trigger a mass exodus of investors and "the government must not contemplate it even in its dreams".
Another Indian English-language daily Asian Age said in an editorial that "it seems like the government would like to use the RBI as its piggy-bank to be broken when required. This should be of serious concern to people of India." ($1 = Rs 73.5775).
UK economy grew by 0.1 per cent in August, after contracting in July
IMF predicts Britain will have the second-fastest G7 growth in 2025
Economists warn growth remains weak ahead of Reeves’ November budget
Bank of England faces balancing act between inflation and sluggish growth
UK’s ECONOMY returned to growth in August, expanding by 0.1 per cent from July, according to official data released on Thursday. The slight rise offers limited relief to chancellor Rachel Reeves as she prepares for her November budget.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said gross domestic product for July was revised to show a 0.1 per cent fall from June, compared with a previous estimate that showed no change.
Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Britain’s economy is set to record the second-fastest growth among the Group of Seven nations in 2025, after the United States. However, with annual growth projected at 1.3 per cent, it remains insufficient to avoid tax rises in Reeves’ budget.
Fergus Jimenez-England, associate economist at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, said early signs for September suggested limited growth in the third quarter. "Regaining momentum hinges on restoring business confidence and reducing uncertainty, which the government can support by setting aside a larger fiscal buffer in the upcoming budget," Jimenez-England said.
Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, said the figures indicated that the services and construction sectors were in a "pre-budget funk" and forecast that growth in the third quarter would be about half the Bank of England’s estimate of 0.4 per cent. "The UK economy has yet to see the full ramifications of the US trade war," Raja said. "Budget uncertainty is hitting its peak too – likely dampening discretionary household and business spending."
A Reuters poll of economists had forecast that GDP would expand by 0.1 per cent in August.
In the three months to August, growth rose slightly to 0.3 per cent from 0.2 per cent in the three months to July, supported by public health service activity while consumer-facing services declined, the ONS said.
The Bank of England, which held interest rates at 4 per cent in September, continues to navigate between persistent inflation and weak growth.
Governor Andrew Bailey said on Tuesday that the labour market was showing signs of softening and inflation pressures were easing after data showed unemployment at its highest since 2021 and a slowdown in private sector wage growth.
Monetary Policy Committee member Alan Taylor also warned on Tuesday that the British economy risked a "bumpy landing", citing the impact of US president Donald Trump’s trade tariffs.
Data published earlier this week showed weak growth in retail sales, partly reflecting concerns about possible tax increases in Reeves’ November 26 budget.
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