Reeves says Brexit and austerity hurt economy more than expected
Reeves said she aimed to counter an anticipated downgrade in Britain’s economic growth forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility.
Reeves said she hoped the Bank of England would make further interest rate cuts after her budget measures, which will be aimed at easing the cost of living pressures on households. (Photo: Getty Images)
CHANCELLOR Rachel Reeves has said Brexit and past government spending cuts have had a greater negative impact on the UK economy than previously estimated, as she prepares for a budget expected to include tax rises alongside measures to support growth.
In comments reported by The Guardian, Reeves said she aimed to counter an anticipated downgrade in Britain’s economic growth forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
"We also know - and the OBR, I think, is going to be pretty frank about this - that things like austerity, the cuts to capital spending and Brexit have had a bigger impact on our economy than even was projected back then," she was quoted as saying by the newspaper during a conference in Birmingham.
"That's why we are unashamedly rebuilding our relations with the European Union to reduce some of those costs that were, in my view, needlessly added to businesses since 2016 and since we formally left a few years ago."
The OBR has estimated that Brexit will reduce Britain’s long-term productivity level by 4 per cent compared with remaining in the European Union.
On Saturday, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said Brexit was likely to continue weighing on Britain’s economic growth in the coming years.
Data published earlier showed Britain’s public borrowing in the first half of the financial year was the highest on record, except during the height of the coronavirus pandemic, maintaining pressure on Reeves ahead of the 26 November budget.
Later on Tuesday, Reeves told the Financial Times she hoped the Bank of England would make further interest rate cuts after her budget measures, which will be aimed at easing the cost of living pressures on households.
"There will be targeted action in the budget around prices because I want to bring down the cost of living for families," Reeves said. "And I want to see interest rates, which have gone down five times in the last year and a bit, come down further."
Britain currently has the highest inflation rate among Group of Seven economies, at 3.8 per cent in August. The Bank of England expects it to peak at 4 per cent in September before returning to its 2 per cent target in the spring of 2027.
Governor Andrew Bailey and his colleagues have said the inflation outlook remains uncertain, making it difficult to predict when further interest rate cuts may occur.
£1.9 billion total economic impact UK’s most costly cyber incident, with losses ranging between £1.6bn-£2.1bn.
5,000 UK businesses affected supply chain disruption cascaded through multiple tiers of suppliers and dealerships.
Five-week production shutdown nearly 25,000 vehicles lost at £108m weekly cost to JLR’s UK operations.
Supply chain devastation
A cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover in late August has become Britain’s most economically damaging digital security incident, costing the UK economy an estimated £1.9 billion, according to the Cyber Monitoring Centre.
The malicious breach forced JLR to shut down manufacturing at its major UK plants in Solihull, Halewood, and Wolverhampton for approximately five weeks, halting production of nearly 5,000 vehicles weekly.
The incident has been classified as a Category 3 systemic event, affecting more than 5,000 UK organisations across the automotive supply chain.
The CMC's analysis reveals that JLR lost £108 million per week during the complete shutdown, with the vast majority of total losses stemming from halted manufacturing output.
The company announced a controlled, phased restart in early October, but experts predict full production won’t resume until early January 2026.
The ripple effects have been severe for JLR’s network of nearly 1,000 tier-one suppliers and thousands of lower-tier suppliers. Many suppliers face critical cash flow challenges, with at least one company director taking out a personally backed loan to keep operations afloat. JLR has responded by clearing outstanding invoices and prepaying qualifying suppliers.
Dealerships experienced intermittent system outages affecting ordering, servicing, and parts operations.
Extended delivery delays have been reported, though brand loyalty appears to be preventing mass cancellations. Logistics providers and exporters also suffered as vehicle shipments were delayed.
Job security concerns
The human cost extends beyond finances. Automotive suppliers have implemented pay cuts, hour banking, and redundancies to survive.
The CMC warns these threats to job security can severely impact mental and physical wellbeing, particularly affecting communities dependent on automotive manufacturing.
The government has underwritten a £1.5 billion loan guarantee to provide JLR with liquidity, though analysts expect it won’t be fully utilised.
The CMC recommends businesses prioritise operational resilience and strengthen IT security boundaries to prevent similar incidents.
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