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COVID-19 will cut global growth by 0.1% to 0.4%, says ADB

THE Asian Development Bank (ADB) said on Friday (6) that the coronavirus outbreak is set to trim economic growth in developing Asia and around the world this year.

The outbreak could slash global gross domestic product by 0.1 to 0.4%, with financial losses forecast to reach between $77 billion and $347 billion, the Manila-based lender said.


Economic growth in China and developing Asia, excluding China, could be trimmed by 0.3 to 1.7% and 0.2 to 0.5%, respectively, the ADB said in an analysis that outlined best- and worst-case scenarios.

The ADB said the coronavirus outbreak could lead to sharp declines in domestic demand, tourism and business travel, trade and production linkages, supply disruptions, hurting growth in developing Asia.

The global spread of the novel coronavirus has crushed hopes for stronger growth this year and will hold 2020 global output gains to their slowest pace since the 2008-2009 financial crisis, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said recently.

The World Bank has said it was providing $12 billion in immediate funds to help developing countries improve their health services, disease surveillance, access to medical supplies and working capital for businesses.

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Subscription businesses sold consumers a simple idea for years. Paying £9.99 every month felt easier than paying £300 upfront. That logic helped create a global subscription economy now valued at more than $1.5 trillion, spanning streaming, music, cloud storage, AI tools, fitness apps, gaming and even coffee memberships.

But the model that once looked unstoppable is entering a difficult phase as inflation, price fatigue and changing consumer behaviour collide. Around 47% of consumers cancelled at least one subscription this year, according to recent subscription industry surveys, while companies are increasingly shifting focus from rapid growth to customer retention.

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