Chancellor Sajid Javid said on Sunday (10) the Labour Party's "reckless" spending plans would trigger an economic crisis within months if it won the December 12 election, citing a contested dossier published by his Conservative Party.
Labour strongly dismissed the report, which said it would increase spending by 1.2 trillion pounds ($1.5 trillion) over the next five years, calling it fake news.
The future path of Britain's economy, the world's fifth largest, has been at the centre of the election campaign in recent days, with both parties pledging higher spending, but arguing over the scale of investment needed and how to pay for it.
"These are eye-watering levels of spending - £1.2 trillion - it will be absolutely reckless and will leave this country with an economic crisis within months," Javid told the BBC on Sunday.
The Conservatives, led by prime minister Boris Johnson and currently ahead in opinion polls, said the figure was based on Labour's manifesto for the 2017 election and estimates of more recent policy pledges.
But Javid refused to put a price tag on his own party's plan for government, saying it would fully account for new spending when the party manifesto is published. Labour has also pledged to explain how it would pay for its programme for government.
"This ludicrous piece of Tory fake news is an incompetent mish-mash of debunked estimates and bad maths cooked up because they know Labour’s plans for real change are popular," said Labour's would-be chancellor, John McDonnell.
The Conservative dossier included a disputed £196 billion cost for Labour's plan to renationalise private rail companies, energy supply networks, water companies and the Royal Mail postal service.
Costs for other policies were based on an immediate start, whereas Labour has said they would be phased in over several years.
Britain's top civil servant barred the finance ministry from publishing a costing of Labour's policies last week, saying it would breach political impartiality rules.
Johnson, whose minority government has had to rely on support from political allies, called the early election in an attempt to break a parliamentary impasse over Brexit.
RADICAL PROGRAMME
Labour, run by socialist Jeremy Corbyn, makes no secret of its desire to increase the role of the state.
"Labour will tax the rich to pay for things everyone needs and deserves, like decent housing, healthcare and support for our children," McDonnell said.
In a separate interview for the Sunday's Independent he said the party's manifesto would be "the most radical ever" and include a pilot programme for a universal basic income.
The Conservatives currently enjoy a sizeable lead in opinion polls over Labour at the start of election campaigning.
Separate polls for the Mail on Sunday and Observer newspapers both put the Conservatives on 41 per cent support and Labour on 29 per cent, while a Sunday Times poll put the Conservatives on 39 per cent and Labour on 26 per cent.
Both Javid and McDonnell unveiled significant spending plans last week, reflecting a desire to win over voters after nine years of cutbacks under Conservative-led governments.
Like in many advanced economies, British government borrowing costs are currently close to record lows.
But on Friday credit ratings agency Moody's assigned a negative outlook to Britain's sovereign rating, blaming Brexit-related policy uncertainty and a lack of political will to reduce debt.
"The number one thing they point to is this paralysis in decision making, and that is coming from what was a very dysfunctional parliament," Javid said when asked about the Moody's report.
He said the only way to remove the uncertainty was to elect a Conservative government.
Britain's public debt currently stands at around £1.8 trillion, more than 80 per cent of economic output - though below equivalent amounts in the United States, Japan and France.
Shein’s UK sales hit £2.05bn in 2024, up 32.3 per cent year-on-year, driven by younger shoppers.
The retailer benefits from import tax loopholes unavailable to high street rivals.
Faces mounting criticism over labour practices and sustainability as it eyes a London listing.
Tax edge drives growth
Chinese fashion giant Shein is transforming Britain’s online clothing market, capturing a third of women aged 16 to 24 while benefiting from tax breaks unavailable to high street rivals.
The fast-fashion retailer’s UK sales surged 32.3 per cent to £2.05bn in 2024, according to company filings, with pre-tax profits rising to £38.3m from £24.4m the previous year. The growth comes as established players like Asos struggle in an increasingly competitive landscape where young consumers prioritise value above all else.
Shein has partly benefited from a tax break on import duty for goods worth less than £135 sent directly to consumers, The rule lets overseas sellers send low-value goods to the UK tax-free, disadvantaging local businesses.
“The growth of Shein and Temu is a huge factor,” said Tamara Sender Ceron, associate director of fashion retail research at Mintel told The Guardian. “It is particularly successful among younger shoppers. It is also a threat to other fashion retailers such as Primark and H&M because of its ultra-low price model that nobody can compete with. It’s changed the market.
"The market dynamics reflect broader shifts in consumer behaviour. Online fashion sales reached £34bn last year, up 3 per cent, according to Mintel, but shoppers have become more cautious as disposable incomes shrink, and fashion competes with holidays, festivals, and streaming services for wallet share.
Scrutiny builds
Despite its commercial success, Shein faces mounting scrutiny. The company filed initial paperwork last June for a potential London Stock Exchange listing, but critics question its labour practices and environmental impact.
"Regardless of whether Shein gets listed on the London Stock Exchange, no company doing business in the UK should be allowed to play fast and loose with human rights anywhere in their global supply chains,” said Peter Frankental, economic affairs programme director at Amnesty International UK to BBC.
The “de minimis” rule has drawn renewed attention after US President Donald Trump scrapped a similar measure during his trade war with China.
Shein’s UK operation now employs 91 people across offices in Kings Cross and Manchester, focusing primarily on local market expertise.
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