INDIA’s Covid-19 situation is again “getting worse” and the current daily death load is “worrying”, recent media reports quoted the warning of top Indian physicist Dr Vipin Srivastava, who had also predicted a third wave in India.
Srivastava, who has developed a method to observe the pattern of the number of cases and deaths for the past 463 days, said that the Daily Death Load (DDL) has worsened in recent weeks, which indicates that the third wave is taking a turn for the worse.
The DDL has gone towards more positive levels, which is "undesirable".
The curve, which has not only continued after July first week but also appears to have become worse in the last 2 weeks or so, suggesting that the third wave is taking a turn for the worse, he said as per reports.
“The number of new Covid-19 positive cases in 24 hours is exceeding the number of recovered cases in the same 24 hours even though the number of Covid-19 deaths is hovering around 500,” Times Of India quoted the physicist who further added that ongoing big fluctuations in the DDL are ‘“much wilder than the earlier ones and that they are not showing signs of settling down even after a month”.
A former pro-vice-chancellor of the University of Hyderabad, a prominent university in the southern parts of India, Srivastava also ruled out herd immunity in India despite reported seropositivity in about two-thirds of the population.
Srivastava had earlier predicted that a third wave will hit India in July.
According to Indian health ministry data, India registered 28,204 fresh coronavirus cases on Monday (9)- which is 20 per cent less than on Sunday (8).
Meanwhile, recent reports also stated that the Delta variant was found to be in 83.8 per cent of samples sent for genome sequencing by the Delhi government in the last three months.
In May and June, the variant was found in 81.7 and 88.6 per cent of the samples, respectively while in April, when India’s devastating second wave was just taking off, it was found in 53.9 per cent of the samples, the government data shows.
In view of the threat posed by the possible third wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the Indian government reportedly has ramped up the production of vaccines and essential medicines.
