Economic growth flat in July, posing early test for government
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) remained flat in July, following similar stagnation in June.
By EasternEyeSep 11, 2024
THE ECONOMY showed no growth in July, according to official data released on Wednesday, marking a setback for the newly elected Labour government, which has prioritised economic expansion.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) remained flat in July, following similar stagnation in June. Analysts had expected a slight increase in growth for July, but the data revealed otherwise. Previous figures also indicated that the economy grew at a slower pace in the second quarter compared to the first.
Keir Starmer's Labour government took office at the start of July, ending 14 years of Conservative leadership.
"I am under no illusion about the scale of the challenge we face and I will be honest with the British people that change will not happen overnight," said Chancellor Rachel Reeves in response to the new data.
"Two quarters of positive economic growth does not make up for fourteen years of stagnation," she added. "That is why we are taking the long-term decisions now to fix the foundations of our economy."
Reeves has committed to imposing strict controls on public finances to address what she describes as a £22-billion shortfall inherited from the previous Conservative government. She has also suggested that taxes may be increased in her first budget, due at the end of October, to help close the financial gap.
The government has already announced plans to end fuel benefits for millions of pensioners as part of its cost-saving measures.
However, the government received positive news from Amazon, which announced an £8-billion investment in Britain over the next five years. This investment, through Amazon Web Services, is expected to create thousands of jobs.
"We are taking the long-term decisions now to fix the foundations of our economy, including today's announcement... from Amazon Web Services, that will help rebuild Britain and make every part of the country better off," Reeves said.
Amazon’s investment in data centres across the UK could contribute £14 billion to the country's GDP and support more than 14,000 jobs annually in the supply chain, according to the company.
Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said the government's ability to attract investments like Amazon’s is a positive step. However, she cautioned that with speculation surrounding next month’s budget, further efforts will be needed to encourage more business investments in the UK.
Shein’s UK sales hit £2.05bn in 2024, up 32.3 per cent year-on-year, driven by younger shoppers.
The retailer benefits from import tax loopholes unavailable to high street rivals.
Faces mounting criticism over labour practices and sustainability as it eyes a London listing.
Tax edge drives growth
Chinese fashion giant Shein is transforming Britain’s online clothing market, capturing a third of women aged 16 to 24 while benefiting from tax breaks unavailable to high street rivals.
The fast-fashion retailer’s UK sales surged 32.3 per cent to £2.05bn in 2024, according to company filings, with pre-tax profits rising to £38.3m from £24.4m the previous year. The growth comes as established players like Asos struggle in an increasingly competitive landscape where young consumers prioritise value above all else.
Shein has partly benefited from a tax break on import duty for goods worth less than £135 sent directly to consumers, The rule lets overseas sellers send low-value goods to the UK tax-free, disadvantaging local businesses.
“The growth of Shein and Temu is a huge factor,” said Tamara Sender Ceron, associate director of fashion retail research at Mintel told The Guardian. “It is particularly successful among younger shoppers. It is also a threat to other fashion retailers such as Primark and H&M because of its ultra-low price model that nobody can compete with. It’s changed the market.
"The market dynamics reflect broader shifts in consumer behaviour. Online fashion sales reached £34bn last year, up 3 per cent, according to Mintel, but shoppers have become more cautious as disposable incomes shrink, and fashion competes with holidays, festivals, and streaming services for wallet share.
Scrutiny builds
Despite its commercial success, Shein faces mounting scrutiny. The company filed initial paperwork last June for a potential London Stock Exchange listing, but critics question its labour practices and environmental impact.
"Regardless of whether Shein gets listed on the London Stock Exchange, no company doing business in the UK should be allowed to play fast and loose with human rights anywhere in their global supply chains,” said Peter Frankental, economic affairs programme director at Amnesty International UK to BBC.
The “de minimis” rule has drawn renewed attention after US President Donald Trump scrapped a similar measure during his trade war with China.
Shein’s UK operation now employs 91 people across offices in Kings Cross and Manchester, focusing primarily on local market expertise.
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